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Andy Masley's avatar

Huge fan of your work so the shoutout means a lot, thanks so much for sharing the posts and adding context!

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Anna Ratkai's avatar

Thanks for this article Hannah. After reading, I have a few thoughts, I would be interested to hear your take on them.

1) Maybe one individual LLM use does not have a crazy emission/water impact, but it doesn't mean we should downplay our collective impact. For example, I can argue that my individual fast fashion consumption has such a low impact, only a couple of thousand liters of water, + a few kilos of textile waste per year. Who cares? Maybe true, my individual actions, if looked at in a bubble, don't have the biggest impact. But the thing is, I'm not the only one doing it. We do it collectively, and when everyone is buying fast fashion / uses LLMs, our impacts add up. And not just the environmental impact, but using and engaging with AI is a signal for companies that there is demand, so they will do even more of it. (I want to mention that I agree, there are good use cases for AI, but when it is shoved into every single product and allows us to do useless (generate funny images for no reason) or even harmful (spew out misinformation shared on social media) things, it is a misuse of our resources. And we definitely don't need more of AI that does these useless / harmful things.)

2) There is also an indirect environmental cost of using AI, in the form of mining, toxic chemical use, and environmental destruction of digging out all the necessary raw material to produce the hardware AI runs on. Would love to see that accounted for.

So I'm not anti-AI, but I'm sceptical & cautious, and I believe both individuals and companies should be more intentional with their AI use.

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Jadzania's avatar

Very good point and something that concerns me, too!

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AVS's avatar

Hi there. I really agree that some use of AI seems completely useless and detrimental. For instance, misinformation is bad. I want to point that these are valid arguments. Misinformation is bad. AI-driven misinformation is bad. We do not need to make it about climate change. The goal of human societies is not only to stop climate change. Human well being is an important goal, for instance. No need to frame everything bad for society as something bad for climate change or the environment.

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Andy Masley's avatar

I talk about both of these points in a lot of detail in the cheat sheet post fwiw

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Richard's avatar

I read the original piece by Andy Masley and agreed with the analysis but then over time I've become unsure again, mainly triggered by watching the Studio Ghibli fad unfold.

Image generation (and video generation) must have a higher impact than text-only, and we should probably consider the utility of it all as well. I mean, what was the point of the Ghibli thing, really? If you eat a burger it has high utility - you stay alive for another day or two. If you generate a bunch of images (probably three for every one you actually want, given how the output isn't usually exactly what you hoped for), it has low utility. Millions of people generating pointless bullshit collectively could have a negative impact and shouldn't really be compared with the amount of water used by the food supply chain or the amount of electricity used by aircon.

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Andy Masley's avatar

What’s the point of fan art or video games? Both also aren’t necessary but make people happy. The Ghibli trend was fun for people and used tiny amounts of energy for each image. When other goofy trends like this happen online people never bring up the carbon cost, even though they always also have one. I suspect people are upset at AI for other reasons and are using the carbon cost to criticize it, but imo the point would make more sense if they just criticized AI directly instead of this roundabout “oh it uses 3Wh” thing

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Richard's avatar

Perhaps we should think of the carbon cost of the other stuff too, though. One thing that struck me from your article was the high cost of YouTube, with an implication of broadly "you don't care much about that, do you?" I definitely had never thought about it, and I'm wondering whether we should care. Just because something makes people happy is not a slam dunk moral argument - people used to nail cats to trees for fun but we kind of outgrew that. The environmental cost of everything is probably a new level of sophistication in understanding the world that the new generations coming through will just naturally have a better handle on

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Buzen's avatar

How much carbon was emitted transmitting your banal points to my device? Excuse me while I go nail a cat to a tree, in atonement (purring emits gigatons of carbon globally, and for what? Making pet owners happy).

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Buzen's avatar

And what about all the energy wasted making music? And how much oil goes into a modern painting?

We should all just sit quietly in cold dark rooms silently contemplating our coming climate apocalypse. And no crying or heavy sighing, as we know those also emit carbon.

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Sineira's avatar

This is only taking into account the processing on the servers, not the infrastructure needed for the delivery.

And a basic sanity check tells me this is wrong. The added electricity consumption is too high to be waved off as nothing more than parts of a light bulb. It doesn't compute.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-ai-boom-could-use-a-shocking-amount-of-electricity/

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David Steigerwald's avatar

Yes, we are having huge controversies over proposed data centers each of which are proposing to use the energy of thousands of households, throwing the sustainability plans of the state out the window. If it isn’t AI, what is consuming all that energy?

https://cardinalnews.org/2025/04/11/energy-demand-will-outstrip-supply-in-virginia-as-data-centers-proliferate/

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Andy Masley's avatar

I go into a lot of detail about this in the cheat sheet post. AI more broadly is an environmental problem. Chatbots are an extremely tiny fraction of AI energy use.

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Sineira's avatar

It also ignores the energy wasted during idle time.

The total usage for the servers need to be accounted for, not just for each query.

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Andy Masley's avatar

Do you think that'd add that much? I also ignore the idle time of servers running YouTube videos. This applies to everything we do online, so if I include those, the energy costs of everything else will go up too, and ChatGPT won't really stand out.

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Sineira's avatar

I do think it adds a lot. These servers are dedicated AI servers.

The amount of power installed for them and theses calculations don't add up.

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Andy Masley's avatar

They don't add up because almost all energy used for AI isn't used for chatbots

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Buzen's avatar

When you pop down to the pub for a pint with friends, the energy used to make that beer was more than a ChatGPT query, and you may not be accounting for the energy you and your friends used to get to the pub, or the lighting in the pub or the lorry to bring the beer to the pub.

Also, if you play trivia at the pub that’s a few hundred grams of CO2 per play.

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Jonah Golden's avatar

How can you just ignore the most energy intensive parts of the process; model training, data centers, etc?

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WallFlamingo's avatar

"Including the cost of training raises the energy cost per prompt by 10%"

You should read the linked cheatsheet to answer your questions.

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Sineira's avatar

Looking at the numbers that statement seems completely wrong.

It's the query that's 10% of the training. And the query is 10 times higher than a search. so ...

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Andy Masley's avatar

Where are you getting the number implying the query is 10% of the training? I’ve never seen anything that implied that. It’d mean ChatGPT’s been used 100x less than I assumed

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Sineira's avatar

"An informal online estimate for ChatGPT indicates that it produces 0.382 g CO2e per query".

"Assuming that ChatGPT undergoes a full re-training of the model once per month and continues with an estimated 10,000,000 queries per day, the 552 metric tons divided by 300,000,000 queries equates to 1.84 g CO2e per query for the amortized training cost."

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Andy Masley's avatar

Can you share the link to what you're citing?

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Sineira's avatar

It was linked in the article as the "best estimates".

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-54271-x

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Jake Carroll's avatar

As with most things, it also comes down to trade off and intention. If I’m using an LLM to help build my impact business I’d imagine the net benefit far outweighs the cost.

This is an incredible piece. As someone who has the ChatGPT guilt often this helps a lot. Thank you for the work you do!

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quinibuzz's avatar

I can easily save 5 google searches if I use ChatGPT instead.

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Boris Zlatopolsky's avatar

Every single time?

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Anneke Hobson's avatar

Thank you so much Hannah! This is incredibly helpful information.

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Thomas Goossens's avatar

Really appreciate this clear breakdown, Hannah.

It helped ease some of the guilt I’ve been carrying. I recently wrote about a different angle: the emotional tension of using ChatGPT while writing about deep ecology and collapse. Not so much the carbon, but the inner contradiction. If you're curious, I shared my reflections here:

https://terracosmos.substack.com/p/the-quest-for-purity-and-the-weight

Curious if others here have wrestled with similar questions — especially those working in environmental/regeneration spaces.

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James Martin's avatar

Huge fan of your book, Hannah, but concerned about this post. As I told Andy on LinkedIn, 1/. We have no idea what ChatGPT’s real impact is because OpenAI won’t tell us (why, if it’s so small?) 2/. There are many less energy-consuming alternatives, it’s just people don’t know about them & 3/. Many macro-trends suggest that (generative/agentic) AI is a net negative for the climate. Notably the fact that US coal power stations previously set to be stopped are now being kept going, partially to meet AI’s soaring electricity demands. So in this sense, AI is actually slowing down the energy transition. Everything else we know for sure is here: https://bettertech.blog/2025/04/19/ais-impacts-how-to-limit-them-and-why/ - TL;DR: let’s look at the bigger picture before saying "this is fine". It’s not fine at all

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Juniper Nichols's avatar

This gives me a lot to think about re: chatbots, but on the other hand, there are coal plants which were scheduled for retirement which will keep running specifically to support data centers for AI.

“Additional demand from new datacenters will double in just a year, to 47,448 GWh between 2024 and 2025, and rise more than eightfold by 2030 to 199,982 GWh, according to a forecast from S&P Global Commodity Insights. That could be a lifeline for coal power.

"There is certainly a strong chance for many of the existing coal [plants] out there to run longer than what was expected prior to the now-explosive growth forecasts in datacenter electricity demand forecasts/electrification," CreditSights analyst Nick Moglia told Commodity Insights.”

Whether or not those projections prove true, it has already built the political will to continue if not accelerate fossil fuel usage.

https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/electric-power/110524-us-power-generators-pump-the-brakes-on-coal-plant-retirements

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Buzen's avatar

I wonder how much energy a TikTok post (shaming people for their ungreen ChatGPT queries ) uses, including the energy to show it to millions of viewers.

Maybe if the electricity grid managers in Spain had used ChatGPT to learn about how lack of inertial stability because of over reliance on solar power can cause grid failures they could have prevented the blackout and saved lots of energy and trouble. But they saved 3 Wh by not making that query.

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TheOneAndOnlyCirrusMan's avatar

I found an MIT article stating that researchers estimate that a ChatGPT query uses 5 times more energy than a web search, now I don't know what to believe.

https://news.mit.edu/2025/explained-generative-ai-environmental-impact-0117

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Buzen's avatar

This comment you just posted was delivered globally with a carbon impact 500 times that of a Google query. Even if you had the guts to delete it, it’s too late; the cat is out of the bag.

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TheOneAndOnlyCirrusMan's avatar

By the way, what's your source for that?

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TheOneAndOnlyCirrusMan's avatar

Fair enough, but I don't aprreciate the needlessly stand-offish tone.

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Airport Stratum's avatar

While supporting your (and Andy Masley's) basic premise that ChatGPT query-response interaction doesn't have a huge impact on power consumption, I think it might be worth clarifying your UK per-capita daily energy consumption assumptions. Why not use the UK's authoritative government OFGEM figures, which at first glance seem to be significantly lower that yours (and theirs are per household, not per person)? Do look at https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/information-consumers/energy-advice-households/average-gas-and-electricity-use-explained when you can. Great article!

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Airport Stratum's avatar

While supporting your (and Andy Masley's) basic premise that ChatGPT query-response interaction doesn't have a huge impact on power consumption, I think it might be worth clarifying your UK per-capita daily energy consumption assumptions. Why not use the UK's authoritative government OFGEM figures, which at first glance seem to be significantly lower that yours (and theirs are per household, not per person)? Do look at https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/information-consumers/energy-advice-households/average-gas-and-electricity-use-explained when you can. Great article!

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Airport Stratum's avatar

While supporting your (and Andy Masley's) basic premise that ChatGPT query-response interaction doesn't have a huge impact on power consumption, I think it might be worth clarifying your UK per-capita daily energy consumption assumptions. Why not use the UK's authoritative government OFGEM figures, which at first glance seem to be significantly lower that yours (and theirs are per household, not per person)? Do look at https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/information-consumers/energy-advice-households/average-gas-and-electricity-use-explained when you can. Great article!

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